Stocks

SPY and QQQ crossed above their 200-day SMAs with big moves on Monday, and held above these long-term moving averages the entire week. The V-Reversal was extraordinary and SPY seems short-term overbought, but this cross above the 200 day SMA cross is a bullish signal for the most important market benchmark. Despite a bullish signal, long-term moving averages are trend-following indicators and it is important to set realistic expectations. ***** This is an abbreviated version...

For those of you who are a bit more steeped in technical analysis, you’ve likely heard of Dow Theory. A set of principles developed from Charles Dow, a journalist/analyst who founded what’s now the Wall Street Journal back in the late 19th century, Dow’s insight was foundational to modern technical analysis. Here’s a question: How can we view today’s market using Dow Theory’s six core tenets? The market seems to be turning around, especially after...

Where are we in the market cycle? In this video, Julius reviews the sector rotation and asset class performance from the past 2-3 weeks to provide an objective take on where we stand in the current market cycle. Using his signature Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG), he uncovers shifts in momentum and leadership across sectors and asset classes. This video was originally published on May 15, 2025. Click on the icon above to view on our dedicated page for...

Let’s be real. How many of you kicked yourselves for not jumping into some long positions last Friday? Of course, hindsight is 20/20, and unless you’ve got a crystal ball, there’s no sure way to know what the market will do next. What you can do, though, is be ready for the next opportunity, and one stock that’s flashing signals is Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI). Super Micro Computer has had a rocky ride. The...

Want to know how to find strong stocks in a volatile market? In this video, Joe uses Relative Strength (RS), Fibonacci retracements, and technical analysis to spot top sectors and manage downside risk. Follow along as Joe breaks down how to use the Relative Strength indicator to separate outperforming stocks from those failing at resistance. He highlights sectors showing strong or improving RS, discusses the Fibonacci retracement on QQQ, and explains what it means for...

The S&P 500 ($SPX) just staged one of the sharpest rebounds we’ve seen in years. After tumbling into deeply oversold territory earlier this year, the index has completely flipped the script—short-term, medium-term, and even long-term indicators are now pointing in a new direction. One longer-term indicator that hit an extreme low in early April was the 14-week relative strength index (RSI), which dropped to 27. That’s among the lowest levels since the 2008 financial crisis....

For months, investors have been on edge over U.S.-China tariff tensions, bracing for everything from fears of empty shelves to rising prices. But after this weekend’s trade talks, where both sides agreed to temporary tariff cuts (emphasis on temporary), stocks surged. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) jumped 1,160 points, while the S&P 500 ($SPX) and Nasdaq Composite ($COMPQ) rallied 3.26% and 4.35%, respectively. Monday’s rally sparked hopes that the worst may be...

We’ve been cautious about the uptrend phase off the April low for a number of reasons, including the lack of breadth support.  While short-term measures of breadth had turned more positive, the long-term breadth conditions had remained firmly in the bearish realm.  With the renewed strength in risk assets over the last week, our long-term breadth measures now indicate a healthy uptrend phase.   Today we’ll dive a little deeper into one of those breadth indicators,...

Bullish signal alert! Over 50% of S&P 500 stocks are now above their 200-day moving average. In this video, Dave explains this key market breadth indicator and what it means for stock market trends. He shows how moving average breadth has reached a bullish milestone, what this means based on historical signals over the past 15 years, and how it compares to the Zweig Breadth Thrust. He also introduces the stoplight market phase technique—a simple...

Let’s be honest. Did anyone think a little more than a month ago that the S&P 500 was primed for a 1000-point rebound? I turned bullish at that April 7th bottom a month ago, but I did not see this type of massive recovery so quickly. Why does this happen? I believe these panicked selloffs occur, because the big Wall Street firms get out prior to market massacres and they need to get back in....